Since production started on the Norwegian continental shelf in 1971, oil and gas have been produced from a total of 107 fields. At the end of 2017, 85 fields were in production: 66 in the North Sea, 17 in the Norwegian Sea and two in the Barents Sea. Overall production from these fields in 2017 was about 236.4 million standard cubic metres of oil equivalents (Sm3 o.e.). This is about 13 per cent less than in the peak year 2004 and 2.7 per cent more than in 2016. In 2017, oil production increased from the previous year for the fourth time, following a continuous decline since 2001.
The production (well stream) from different reservoirs contains oil, gas and water in various combinations. To get marketable products, the production from the reservoris must be separated and treated. The production from different reservoirs varies from oil with low gas content to almost dry gas (methane with only small amounts of other gases).
Crude oil is a fluid that is a combination of different types of hydrocarbons. The composition varies from field to field. The quality of the oil depends on several factors, for example how much and which substances, such as wax and sulphur, it contains. The composition also determines how light or heavy (viscous) the oil is.
Rich gas, or crude natural gas, is a mixture of various gases. When necessary, the gas is separated from the oil before the rich gas is treated in a processing facility that separates the dry and wet gas components. Dry gas is often referred to as natural gas, and consists mainly of methane. Wet gas, or NGL (Natural Gas Liquids) as often referred to, consists of a mixture of heavier gases such as ethane, propane and butane. There is a gradual transition between the heaviest gas components which are called naphtha and condensate, and oil. Similar for them all is that they are liquid at room temperature, and are often mixed in, and sold as oil.
Not all gas that is produced is sold. Some of the gas is used to generate power on the fields, and small amounts are flared for safety purposes. On some fields, gas is reinjected into the reservoirs. Reinjection is often used to maintain reservoir pressure and displace the oil. This results in efficient recovery of the oil, and the gas is stored for possible recovery in the future.
For the next few years, production on the Norwegian shelf is expected to remain relatively stable, as production from new fields that come on stream will compensate for the decline in production from already producing fields. Production is assumed to increase from 2020, and in 2022 is estimated to be close to the record-breaking year 2004. It is expected that the ratio between produced gas and liquids (saleable oil, NGL and condensate) will remain roughly equal in the next few years. While mostly oil was produced in 2004, gas will account for about half of the production in 2022. In the longer term, the number and size of new discoveries will be of crucial importance to the production level.
Historical and expected production in Norway, 1970-2022
Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
At the end of 2017, 85 fields on the Norwegian shelf were in production. Several of the aging fields still have substantial remaining reserves. Moreover, the resource base for existing facilities increases when small neighbouring discoveries are tied in to the existing infrastructure. The activity level on producing fields will remain high in the years ahead, and these fields will account for the bulk of production in the near future.
It is also possible to increase recovery from many of these fields beyond current plans. About 150 projects are currently being assessed to improve recovery from existing fields. It is important for the licensees to find profitable ways of improving recovery and making operations more efficient on existing fields. In addition, existing and new commercially viable discoveries need to be tied in to existing infrastructure to utilise the production and transport capacity in mature areas in the years ahead.
See resource management in mature areas for more detailed information.
Production history and forecast distributed per resource category, 2010-2030
Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (Gas is given in 40 MJ)
With a high number of fields in production and several new fields coming on stream in the next few years, production is expected to remain relatively stable in the next few years. In the early 2020s, production is predicted to increase.
See article about production for more detailed information.
In 2017, five new fields came on stream: Gina Krog, Maria, Flyndre, Sindre and Byrding. Currently, nine field developments are ongoing; five in the North Sea and four in the Norwegian Sea.
In addition, there are about 75 discoveries that could be, or are being, considered for development. Most of them are small and will be developed as satellites to existing fields. Stand-alone developments are planned for the largest discoveries, but a number of smaller discoveries could build new infrastructure through collaborated development solutions.
In 2017, the authorities approved eight plans for development and operation (PDO).
The table below shows the estimated reserves in fields under development.
Reserves in fields under development
All volumes in million Sm3 o.e.
Source: The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
The Johan Sverdrup field
The largest single project on the Norwegian shelf is the development of the Johan Sverdrup field, which is located on the Utsira High in the North Sea. This is the fifth largest oil discovery ever made on the Norwegian shelf. It is expected that the field will account for over 30 per cent of the Norwegian oil production by the mid-2020s.
Other significant fields have also been put on production in the same area. Edvard Grieg, Ivar Aasen and Gina Krog started producing in 2015, 2016 and 2017, respectively. The resources in these fields total approximately 500 million Sm3 o.e.
When Johan Sverdrup was proven in 2010, it was the largest discovery made on the Norwegian shelf for 30 years. The field is estimated to contain between 2 and 3 billion barrels of oil and the production isexpected to last for 50 years. By the mid-2020s – when the field is expected to reach its peak production level – Johan Sverdrup will account for more than 30 per cent of the Norwegian oil production.
Johan Sverdrup covers an area of about 200 km2, about half the size of the city of Oslo.
The discovery was made in an area that has been regularly explored since the mid-1960s. Earlier exploration wells missed the deposit by only a few metres. This shows that there can still be large undiscovered resources in mature areas on the Norwegian shelf.
The field will be developed in several phases. The first phase is a field center consisting of four platforms connected by bridges: a process platform, a drilling platform, a riser platform and living quarter. In addition, three subsea templates are to be constructed for water injection. The living quarter will accommode up to 560 people. The authorities approved the plan for development and operation (PDO) for the first phase in august 2015. Production start-up is scheduled for late 2019. The licensees are working on the second phase of the development, and a PDO for this phase is expected to be submitted in late 2018.
Investment costs for the first phase will be around NOK 97 billion, and the estimated break-even price is less than 20 USD per barrel. The Johan Sverdrup field is located on the Utsira High, together with the fields Ivar Aasen, Gina Krog and Edvard Grieg. A joint area solution for supplying power from shore to these fields is to be established. This arrangement will be in place by 2022 at the latest.
The discovery of Johan Sverdrup shows that the mature areas on the Norwegian shelf can still contain significant undiscovered resources of high economic value. This has helped to maintain a high level of interest in the “Awards in Predefined Areas” (APA) licensing rounds. A total of 56 production licences were awarded in APA 2016, and as many as 39 companies applied for acreage in APA 2017, submitting a record number of applications. Early in 2018, the authorities will announce which companies will receive new production licences.
After several years of reduced investments, the decline is now levelling off and investments are expected to increase slightly in the next few years. Excluding exploration, investment costs are expected to total around NOK 120 billion in 2018, increasing to about NOK 130 billion by 2020. Investments related to new field developments and several major projects on fields in operation will contribute to keeping the investment level up in the coming years.
See article about investments for more detailed information.
In the coming years, the petroleum industry will be characterised by a high activity level. New projects on fields in operation, as well as extensive infill drilling, will result in a high level of activity. In addition to the activities on existing fields, there are several new fields under development and others that are expected to be decided for development.
There will also be significant exploration activities in new, interesting areas. Commercially viable discoveries are required to maintain a stable activity level in the long term, and high exploration activity is a prerequisite.
The petroleum industry will continue to be Norway’s largest and most important industry for the foreseeable future.